Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.002365 0.002505 0.002653 0.002825 0.003017 0.003229 0.003481
2025-03-16 0.002199 0.002397 0.002621 0.002895 0.003228 0.003625 0.004149
2025-03-23 0.002072 0.002308 0.002584 0.002941 0.003401 0.003994 0.004855
2025-03-30 0.001943 0.002195 0.002501 0.002911 0.003464 0.004223 0.005422
2025-04-06 0.001817 0.002075 0.002393 0.002830 0.003442 0.004321 0.005814
2025-04-13 0.001731 0.001994 0.002326 0.002794 0.003471 0.004492 0.006360
2025-04-20 0.001612 0.001864 0.002185 0.002642 0.003314 0.004349 0.006315
2025-04-27 0.001562 0.001820 0.002154 0.002639 0.003374 0.004559 0.006988
2025-05-04 0.001542 0.001814 0.002172 0.002705 0.003545 0.004981 0.008273
2025-05-11 0.001502 0.001778 0.002145 0.002703 0.003606 0.005220 0.009265
2025-05-18 0.001492 0.001780 0.002172 0.002782 0.003809 0.005771 0.011480
2025-05-25 0.001453 0.001742 0.002139 0.002766 0.003846 0.005995 0.012914
2025-06-01 0.001401 0.001686 0.002080 0.002709 0.003813 0.006082 0.014054
2025-06-08 0.001384 0.001677 0.002089 0.002762 0.003989 0.006700 0.018551
2025-06-15 0.001363 0.001662 0.002089 0.002800 0.004143 0.007327 0.025397
2025-06-22 0.001327 0.001624 0.002050 0.002771 0.004159 0.007598 0.031310
2025-06-29 0.001282 0.001571 0.001988 0.002696 0.004073 0.007553 0.034106
2025-07-06 0.001250 0.001536 0.001951 0.002663 0.004071 0.007762 0.042637
2025-07-13 0.001194 0.001465 0.001856 0.002524 0.003831 0.007181 0.034852
2025-07-20 0.001173 0.001445 0.001840 0.002521 0.003884 0.007546 0.048483
2025-07-27 0.001169 0.001448 0.001859 0.002582 0.004082 0.008485 0.132530
2025-08-03 0.001151 0.001430 0.001843 0.002580 0.004140 0.008965 0.619835
2025-08-10 0.001149 0.001436 0.001867 0.002652 0.004384 0.010356 NaN